Growth

Labor Agent

Tracks unemployment, payroll momentum, and participation.

Utility

This agent must be runnable on its own and must produce evidence that supports a decision, an avoidance, or a confidence change.

Decisions Supported

growth riskirecession riski

Questions Answered

Is labor strengthening or weakening?i

Data Sources

Yahoo labor proxy basketiFRED UNRATEiFRED PAYEMSiFRED CIVPARTi

Current Run Market Data

Label	Symbol	Group	Price	Change	Change %	Status
IWM	IWM	labor_cyclical	295.44	-0.57	-0.19%	live
XLI	XLI	labor_cyclical	175.01	-0.26	-0.15%	live
XLY	XLY	labor_cyclical	114.42	-0.49	-0.43%	live

Computed Signal

Name	Value	Regime	Confidence	Source	Observed
labor_market_proxy_score	46.9	mixed	100%	Yahoo live proxy data	2026-09-08T16:46:21+00:00

Declared And Target Feeds

Source	Status	Current Run Data
Yahoo labor proxy basket	current run	3/3 observed rows attached below.
FRED UNRATE	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.
FRED PAYEMS	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.
FRED CIVPART	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.

Live Status

Labor-sensitive cyclical proxies average -0.26% across IWM, XLI, and XLY.

Score

Warnings

• No active warnings.

Signals

Name	Value	Regime	Confidence	Source	Observed
labor_market_proxy_score	46.9	mixed	100%	Yahoo live proxy data	2026-09-08T16:46:21+00:00