Finance Swarm

Market Grade F

50.7/100 | confidence 82% | 39/39 live agents

Finance Swarm sees mixed conditions. Score is 50.7/100 with 82% confidence.

Full breakdown: how FS derived this score Score log & trend

Risk postureNeutral. Require stronger evidence before increasing exposure.
Rewarded riskNo rewarded risk is confirmed by the live agents.
Underpriced riskNo separate underpriced-risk signal is confirmed. Positive breadth is rewarded risk, not an underpricing claim.
AvoidHousing proxies are weakening.; Consumer risk appetite is lagging staples or retail is weak.; Regional banks are weak; do not ignore credit plumbing risk.; Earnings proxy breadth is weak.; Quality proxies are weak; do not assume strong balance sheets are being rewarded.; FS sector breadth is weak.; Sector participation is narrow; avoid treating index strength as broad confirmation.; Industry leadership is narrow; research only the confirmed leaders.; Bank industries are weak inside the leadership map.; Housing/retail industries are weak; consumer-cycle exposure needs caution.; Volatility is rising; avoid pressing risk without confirmation.; Sentiment proxy shows rising fear or weak speculative appetite.; Event-risk proxy is elevated.; Policy-risk proxy is leaning defensive.; Senate eFD parser is not attached yet; treat this as House-only political trading coverage.; Top award agencies in sample: Department of Energy, Department of Homeland Security, Department of State, Department of Veterans Affairs.; Congress.gov/SAM.gov committee and opportunity feeds need API keys before committee-to-contract tracing is complete.; Agents are materially split; require patience before acting.
ChangedMarket score is broadly unchanged since the prior run (50.5 to 50.7).; Largest agent moves: quality_balance_sheet -4.2.

Agent Dashboards

46Live MarketLive data

Market Tape / Nowcast Agent

Reads the exact-moment tape across indexes, crypto, and watched equities.

64PolicyLive data

Policy Rate Agent

Measures Fed policy stance and rate pressure.

50LiquidityLive data

Net Liquidity Agent

Tracks Fed balance sheet, reserves, TGA, and RRP liquidity pressure.

48MonetaryLive data

Money Supply Agent

Tracks M1/M2 growth and real money supply impulse.

67InflationLive data

Inflation Agent

Measures inflation momentum and pressure.

47GrowthLive data

Labor Agent

Tracks unemployment, payroll momentum, and participation.

25GrowthLive data

Housing Agent

Tracks housing starts, permits, sales, prices, and mortgage stress.

33GrowthLive data

Consumer Agent

Tracks consumer sentiment, retail sales, spending, and job postings.

49RatesLive data

US Bond Market Agent

Synthesizes Treasury yields, curve regimes, real yields, term premium, rate volatility, and auctions.

51CreditLive data

Credit Agent

Tracks credit spread stress and risk appetite.

39CreditLive data

Bank Stress Agent

Tracks banks, regional banks, deposit-sensitive lenders, and financial plumbing stress.

44CreditLive data

Private Credit Stress Agent

Tracks BDCs, leveraged loans, high yield, and private-credit-adjacent refinancing pressure.

48EquitiesLive data

Earnings Agent

Tracks EPS revisions, margins, guidance, and earnings breadth.

41EquitiesLive data

Earnings Quality Agent

Separates durable earnings support from speculative or low-quality price action.

49EquitiesLive data

Valuation Agent

Measures equity valuation versus rates, inflation, and earnings.

44EquitiesLive data

Quality / Balance Sheet Agent

Tracks whether strong balance sheets, quality factors, and lower-volatility assets are being rewarded over fragile risk.

40EquitiesLive data

Market Internals Agent

Tracks sector breadth, leadership, new highs/lows, and moving-average participation.

47Equity SectorsLive data

Sector Regime Agent

Ranks sector risk appetite across growth, cyclicals, defensives, rate-sensitive areas, and inflation beneficiaries.

36Equity SectorsLive data

Industry Leadership Agent

Tracks leadership inside key industries such as semis, software, banks, defense, homebuilders, retail, biotech, transports, and miners.

49PositioningLive data

Flows Agent

Tracks ETF, mutual fund, money-market, and cross-asset flows.

56Global LiquidityLive data

Dollar / FX Agent

Tracks dollar strength and global funding pressure.

66MacroLive data

Commodities Agent

Tracks oil, copper, gold, and broad commodity pressure.

23PositioningLive data

Options / Positioning Agent

Tracks put/call, skew, vol term structure, gamma, and trend exposure.

48Risk AppetiteLive data

Crypto Agent

Tracks BTC trend, crypto momentum, volatility, and ETH/BTC risk appetite.

29SentimentLive data

Sentiment Agent

Tracks investor sentiment from selected real-time sources.

22ExpectationsLive data

Prediction Markets Agent

Tracks market-implied probabilities for macro events.

30External RiskLive data

Political Risk Agent

Tracks policy uncertainty and political-market activity.

54External RiskLive data

Political Trades Agent

Tracks congressional transaction disclosures for conflict, incentive, and crowding flags.

68External OpportunityLive data

Appropriations / Contracts Agent

Tracks federal transaction flow and the committee-to-contract pipeline for sector and company opportunity.

79External OpportunityLive data

Policy Beneficiary Agent

Maps federal spending and policy-sensitive market leadership into sector and ticker research candidates.

61PositioningLive data

COT Flows Agent

Tracks leveraged-money futures positioning.

100SystemLive data

Source Health Agent

Audits API failures, stale series, missing data, and source latency.

68SystemLive data

Decision Memory Agent

Compares the current run to the prior compact run so FS can say what changed and learn which signals mattered.

70SystemLive data

Revision Agent

Tracks macro data revisions and whether initial prints are being confirmed.

47SystemLive data

Contradiction Agent

Finds disagreements across agents before the policy layer acts.

50Control LayerLive data

Master Regime Agent

Classifies the whole market regime from domain composites.

38Control LayerLive data

Portfolio Policy Agent

Converts market regime into allowed actions, blocked actions, sizing, and hedges.

42Control LayerLive data

Investor Action Agent

Converts market score, rewarded risk, avoidance flags, and quality gates into practical action permission.

35Control LayerLive data

Narrative Guard Agent

Requires every conclusion to trace back to data, dates, sources, and confidence.

Company Valuation

DCFCompany ValuationIndependent

Intrinsic Value / DCF Agent

Builds a company-specific screen-grade DCF, reverse DCF, sensitivity table, and margin-of-safety view from live price and fundamental data.

Equity Eval Cards