Finance Swarm

Market Grade F

59.5/100 | confidence 82% | 39/39 live agents

Finance Swarm sees a constructive but incomplete tape. Score is 59.5/100 with 82% confidence.

Full breakdown: how FS derived this score Score log & trend

Risk postureNeutral. Require stronger evidence before increasing exposure.
Rewarded riskNo rewarded risk is confirmed by the live agents.
Underpriced riskNo separate underpriced-risk signal is confirmed. Positive breadth is rewarded risk, not an underpricing claim.
AvoidMonetary proxy basket is not confirming easier liquidity.; Housing proxies are weakening.; Consumer risk appetite is lagging staples or retail is weak.; Speculative earnings proxies are leading quality; chase risk is elevated.; Fragile/speculative assets are leading quality; require extra margin-of-safety discipline.; Housing/retail industries are weak; consumer-cycle exposure needs caution.; Dollar strength is a headwind for risk assets.; Senate eFD parser is not attached yet; treat this as House-only political trading coverage.; Top award agencies in sample: Department of Energy, Department of Veterans Affairs.; Congress.gov/SAM.gov committee and opportunity feeds need API keys before committee-to-contract tracing is complete.; Defense is the clearest policy-sensitive leader; avoid stretching that signal into unrelated sectors.; Agents are materially split; require patience before acting.
ChangedMarket score is broadly unchanged since the prior run (59.4 to 59.5).

Agent Dashboards

55Live MarketLive data

Market Tape / Nowcast Agent

Reads the exact-moment tape across indexes, crypto, and watched equities.

60PolicyLive data

Policy Rate Agent

Measures Fed policy stance and rate pressure.

52LiquidityLive data

Net Liquidity Agent

Tracks Fed balance sheet, reserves, TGA, and RRP liquidity pressure.

46MonetaryLive data

Money Supply Agent

Tracks M1/M2 growth and real money supply impulse.

64InflationLive data

Inflation Agent

Measures inflation momentum and pressure.

59GrowthLive data

Labor Agent

Tracks unemployment, payroll momentum, and participation.

33GrowthLive data

Housing Agent

Tracks housing starts, permits, sales, prices, and mortgage stress.

55GrowthLive data

Consumer Agent

Tracks consumer sentiment, retail sales, spending, and job postings.

46RatesLive data

US Bond Market Agent

Synthesizes Treasury yields, curve regimes, real yields, term premium, rate volatility, and auctions.

50CreditLive data

Credit Agent

Tracks credit spread stress and risk appetite.

55CreditLive data

Bank Stress Agent

Tracks banks, regional banks, deposit-sensitive lenders, and financial plumbing stress.

53CreditLive data

Private Credit Stress Agent

Tracks BDCs, leveraged loans, high yield, and private-credit-adjacent refinancing pressure.

64EquitiesLive data

Earnings Agent

Tracks EPS revisions, margins, guidance, and earnings breadth.

51EquitiesLive data

Earnings Quality Agent

Separates durable earnings support from speculative or low-quality price action.

59EquitiesLive data

Valuation Agent

Measures equity valuation versus rates, inflation, and earnings.

34EquitiesLive data

Quality / Balance Sheet Agent

Tracks whether strong balance sheets, quality factors, and lower-volatility assets are being rewarded over fragile risk.

57EquitiesLive data

Market Internals Agent

Tracks sector breadth, leadership, new highs/lows, and moving-average participation.

64Equity SectorsLive data

Sector Regime Agent

Ranks sector risk appetite across growth, cyclicals, defensives, rate-sensitive areas, and inflation beneficiaries.

70Equity SectorsLive data

Industry Leadership Agent

Tracks leadership inside key industries such as semis, software, banks, defense, homebuilders, retail, biotech, transports, and miners.

60PositioningLive data

Flows Agent

Tracks ETF, mutual fund, money-market, and cross-asset flows.

37Global LiquidityLive data

Dollar / FX Agent

Tracks dollar strength and global funding pressure.

49MacroLive data

Commodities Agent

Tracks oil, copper, gold, and broad commodity pressure.

100PositioningLive data

Options / Positioning Agent

Tracks put/call, skew, vol term structure, gamma, and trend exposure.

46Risk AppetiteLive data

Crypto Agent

Tracks BTC trend, crypto momentum, volatility, and ETH/BTC risk appetite.

100SentimentLive data

Sentiment Agent

Tracks investor sentiment from selected real-time sources.

56ExpectationsLive data

Prediction Markets Agent

Tracks market-implied probabilities for macro events.

59External RiskLive data

Political Risk Agent

Tracks policy uncertainty and political-market activity.

54External RiskLive data

Political Trades Agent

Tracks congressional transaction disclosures for conflict, incentive, and crowding flags.

69External OpportunityLive data

Appropriations / Contracts Agent

Tracks federal transaction flow and the committee-to-contract pipeline for sector and company opportunity.

95External OpportunityLive data

Policy Beneficiary Agent

Maps federal spending and policy-sensitive market leadership into sector and ticker research candidates.

62PositioningLive data

COT Flows Agent

Tracks leveraged-money futures positioning.

100SystemLive data

Source Health Agent

Audits API failures, stale series, missing data, and source latency.

71SystemLive data

Decision Memory Agent

Compares the current run to the prior compact run so FS can say what changed and learn which signals mattered.

70SystemLive data

Revision Agent

Tracks macro data revisions and whether initial prints are being confirmed.

47SystemLive data

Contradiction Agent

Finds disagreements across agents before the policy layer acts.

60Control LayerLive data

Master Regime Agent

Classifies the whole market regime from domain composites.

48Control LayerLive data

Portfolio Policy Agent

Converts market regime into allowed actions, blocked actions, sizing, and hedges.

55Control LayerLive data

Investor Action Agent

Converts market score, rewarded risk, avoidance flags, and quality gates into practical action permission.

35Control LayerLive data

Narrative Guard Agent

Requires every conclusion to trace back to data, dates, sources, and confidence.

Company Valuation

DCFCompany ValuationIndependent

Intrinsic Value / DCF Agent

Builds a company-specific screen-grade DCF, reverse DCF, sensitivity table, and margin-of-safety view from live price and fundamental data.

Equity Eval Cards