Rates

US Bond Market Agent

Synthesizes Treasury yields, curve regimes, real yields, term premium, rate volatility, and auctions.

Utility

This agent must be runnable on its own and must produce evidence that supports a decision, an avoidance, or a confidence change.

Decisions Supported

duration exposureiequity risk budgetihedge needi

Questions Answered

Why are yields moving?iIs the bond market signaling growth, inflation, or fiscal stress?i

Data Sources

FRED Treasury yieldsiFRED TIPSiMOVEiTreasury auctionsi

Current Run Market Data

Label	Symbol	Group	Price	Change	Change %	Status
3M Yield	^IRX	rate	3.58	0.00	0.00%	live
5Y Yield	^FVX	rate	4.26	0.00	0.00%	live
10Y Yield	^TNX	rate	4.56	0.00	0.00%	live
30Y Yield	^TYX	rate	5.06	0.00	0.00%	live
SHY	SHY	bond_etf	82.12	-0.02	-0.02%	live
IEF	IEF	bond_etf	93.88	0.08	+0.09%	live
TLT	TLT	bond_etf	84.68	0.46	+0.55%	live

Computed Signal

Name	Value	Regime	Confidence	Source	Observed
bond_market_score	52.4	mixed	100%	Yahoo chart endpoint	2026-05-26T00:50:50+00:00

Declared And Target Feeds

Source	Status	Current Run Data
FRED Treasury yields	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.
FRED TIPS	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.
MOVE	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.
Treasury auctions	target feed	Not used in the current run yet; listed as the permanent feed this agent should graduate to.

Live Status

Rates average +0.00% and duration ETFs average +0.20%.

Score

Warnings

• No active warnings.

Signals

Name	Value	Regime	Confidence	Source	Observed
bond_market_score	52.4	mixed	100%	Yahoo chart endpoint	2026-05-26T00:50:50+00:00