DOW52,807-1.14%NASDAQ26,459-0.18%S&P 5007,686-0.43%BTC78,865-0.29%ETH2,501+0.45%MSFT491.59-1.62%NVDA226.01-1.89%AAPL316.15-1.19%GOOGL338.44-0.00%META617.27+0.08%NFLX76.525-2.20%AMZN257.23-0.50%TSLA369.16+4.26%HD315.63-1.69%WMT105.98-1.08%COST908.60-0.78%PG145.09-0.92%LLY1,127-1.97%JNJ269.15-2.21%MRK148.57-1.17%BRK-B504.32-0.34%JPM355.47-0.88%V368.25-1.82%GE338.25+0.33%CAT824.70+1.32%RTX198.99-0.90%XOM159.10-0.23%CVX209.81+0.58%COP134.54+0.21%LIN466.43-2.33%SHW326.25-2.23%APD297.53-1.24%NEE83.840+0.49%SO88.775+0.75%DUK121.14+0.77%PLD138.52+0.86%AMT177.71+1.06%EQIX1,050+1.39%
Live Last updated
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Equity Evaluation Cards

Owner-Oriented Watchlist Workup

Live price/history plus FS company valuation where applicable. BTC and ETFs are market-structure cards, not DCF cards.

Cards11

AAPL, ABBV, BRK/B, BTC-USD, GOOGL, JNJ, MSFT, NVDA, SPCX, TSLA, XLK

Live Scores11/11

Cards with enough live data for a score.

Candidates1

Score and evidence are supportive enough for deeper work.

Watch / Avoid1 / 9

Watch means not yet action. Avoid means current evidence is hostile.

Operating Company

AAPL (AAPL)

50
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 316.06 -1.22% today.

Valuation

DCF 91.00; MOS 68.25; upside -71.2%.

Quality

ROC +80.7%, earnings yield +2.8%, FCF yield +2.9%.

Trend

3M +4.8%; vs SPY +1.1%; 52W high -7.1%.

Risk

30D vol +29.6%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

AAPL: Too expensive (50.2/100). DCF 91.00; MOS 68.25; upside -71.2%. ROC +80.7%, earnings yield +2.8%, FCF yield +2.9%. 3M +4.8%; vs SPY +1.1%; 52W high -7.1%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

ABBV (ABBV)

52
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 251.28 -2.02% today.

Valuation

DCF 61.47; MOS 46.10; upside -75.5%.

Quality

ROC +33.7%, earnings yield +1.4%, FCF yield +4.1%.

Trend

3M +12.6%; vs SPY +8.9%; 52W high -5.5%.

Risk

30D vol +23.5%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

ABBV: Too expensive (51.7/100). DCF 61.47; MOS 46.10; upside -75.5%. ROC +33.7%, earnings yield +1.4%, FCF yield +4.1%. 3M +12.6%; vs SPY +8.9%; 52W high -5.5%.

Warnings

Price is below the 50-day average.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

BRK/B (BRK-B)

52
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 504.25 -0.35% today.

Valuation

DCF 271.42; MOS 203.57; upside -46.2%.

Quality

ROC +12.8%, earnings yield +7.9%, FCF yield +2.2%.

Trend

3M +3.5%; vs SPY -0.2%; 52W high -4.8%.

Risk

30D vol +15.8%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

BRK-B: Too expensive (51.9/100). DCF 271.42; MOS 203.57; upside -46.2%. ROC +12.8%, earnings yield +7.9%, FCF yield +2.2%. 3M +3.5%; vs SPY -0.2%; 52W high -4.8%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Crypto

BTC-USD (BTC-USD)

78
Candidate
Live Tape

Price 78,864 -0.32% today.

Valuation

No DCF: market-structure card only.

Quality

Quality not scored from fundamentals.

Trend

3M +24.6%; vs SPY +20.8%; 52W high -36.8%.

Risk

30D vol +38.4%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

BTC-USD: Candidate (77.5/100). This is a market-structure evaluation; no company DCF is applied.

Warnings

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Yahoo
Operating Company

GOOGL (GOOGL)

32
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 338.50 +0.01% today.

Valuation

DCF 78.92; MOS 59.19; upside -76.7%.

Quality

ROC +20.5%, earnings yield +5.9%, FCF yield +1.3%.

Trend

3M -6.8%; vs SPY -10.6%; 52W high -15.9%.

Risk

30D vol +32.8%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

GOOGL: Too expensive (32.4/100). DCF 78.92; MOS 59.19; upside -76.7%. ROC +20.5%, earnings yield +5.9%, FCF yield +1.3%. 3M -6.8%; vs SPY -10.6%; 52W high -15.9%.

Warnings

Price is below the 50-day average.

Three-month relative performance versus SPY is weak.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

JNJ (JNJ)

54
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 269.15 -2.21% today.

Valuation

DCF 115.94; MOS 86.95; upside -56.9%.

Quality

ROC +19.6%, earnings yield +3.2%, FCF yield +3.4%.

Trend

3M +15.9%; vs SPY +12.2%; 52W high -3.3%.

Risk

30D vol +21.9%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

JNJ: Too expensive (53.8/100). DCF 115.94; MOS 86.95; upside -56.9%. ROC +19.6%, earnings yield +3.2%, FCF yield +3.4%. 3M +15.9%; vs SPY +12.2%; 52W high -3.3%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

MSFT (MSFT)

53
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 491.51 -1.64% today.

Valuation

DCF 129.03; MOS 96.77; upside -73.7%.

Quality

ROC +32.2%, earnings yield +3.7%, FCF yield +1.8%.

Trend

3M +19.4%; vs SPY +15.6%; 52W high -9.3%.

Risk

30D vol +48.2%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

MSFT: Too expensive (53.4/100). DCF 129.03; MOS 96.77; upside -73.7%. ROC +32.2%, earnings yield +3.7%, FCF yield +1.8%. 3M +19.4%; vs SPY +15.6%; 52W high -9.3%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

NVDA (NVDA)

54
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 225.97 -1.90% today.

Valuation

DCF 102.70; MOS 77.02; upside -54.5%.

Quality

ROC +75.3%, earnings yield +3.5%, FCF yield +2.3%.

Trend

3M +8.3%; vs SPY +4.6%; 52W high -4.1%.

Risk

30D vol +41.8%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

NVDA: Too expensive (54.1/100). DCF 102.70; MOS 77.02; upside -54.5%. ROC +75.3%, earnings yield +3.5%, FCF yield +2.3%. 3M +8.3%; vs SPY +4.6%; 52W high -4.1%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
ETF

SPCX (SPCX)

43
Avoid
Live Tape

Price 154.79 +4.62% today.

Valuation

No DCF: market-structure card only.

Quality

Quality not scored from fundamentals.

Trend

3M N/A; vs SPY N/A; 52W high -26.8%.

Risk

30D vol +83.6%; price vs 200D N/A.

FS Read

SPCX: Avoid (42.7/100). This is a market-structure evaluation; no company DCF is applied.

Warnings

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Yahoo Finviz
Operating Company

TSLA (TSLA)

18
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 368.95 +4.20% today.

Valuation

DCF 23.21; MOS 17.41; upside -93.7%.

Quality

ROC +5.0%, earnings yield +0.3%, FCF yield +0.4%.

Trend

3M -9.8%; vs SPY -13.5%; 52W high -24.7%.

Risk

30D vol +45.8%; price vs 200D below 200D.

FS Read

TSLA: Too expensive (17.5/100). DCF 23.21; MOS 17.41; upside -93.7%. ROC +5.0%, earnings yield +0.3%, FCF yield +0.4%. 3M -9.8%; vs SPY -13.5%; 52W high -24.7%.

Warnings

Price is below the 200-day average.

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Three-month relative performance versus SPY is weak.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
ETF

XLK (XLK)

72
Watch
Live Tape

Price 187.94 +0.35% today.

Valuation

No DCF: market-structure card only.

Quality

Quality not scored from fundamentals.

Trend

3M +2.0%; vs SPY -1.7%; 52W high -5.2%.

Risk

30D vol +28.8%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

XLK: Watch (71.8/100). This is a market-structure evaluation; no company DCF is applied.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz
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