DOW51,424-0.19%NASDAQ24,639+1.33%S&P 5007,398+0.60%BTC75,593-0.51%ETH2,224-0.51%MSFT532.60-0.62%NVDA187.20+3.08%AAPL344.15-0.01%GOOGL285.65+1.09%META616.35+1.86%NFLX63.850-2.61%AMZN261.64+0.55%TSLA359.77+4.68%HD343.27-1.91%WMT125.75-1.54%COST1,058-0.76%PG165.96-0.68%LLY1,364-0.02%JNJ275.23+1.07%MRK146.60-0.23%BRK-B574.62+0.40%JPM336.58-0.22%V423.87+0.30%GE323.41+2.76%CAT558.55+0.89%RTX192.70+0.43%XOM165.93+0.38%CVX213.24+0.15%COP136.53+0.79%LIN517.73-0.67%SHW344.51-1.29%APD306.60-0.93%NEE87.440-0.92%SO92.440-0.96%DUK128.44-1.26%PLD127.45-0.86%AMT190.69-1.70%EQIX1,006+0.82%
Live Last updated
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Equity Evaluation Cards

Owner-Oriented Watchlist Workup

Live price/history plus FS company valuation where applicable. BTC and ETFs are market-structure cards, not DCF cards.

Cards11

AAPL, ABBV, BRK/B, BTC-USD, GOOGL, JNJ, MSFT, NVDA, SPCX, TSLA, XLK

Live Scores11/11

Cards with enough live data for a score.

Candidates0

Score and evidence are supportive enough for deeper work.

Watch / Avoid0 / 11

Watch means not yet action. Avoid means current evidence is hostile.

Operating Company

AAPL (AAPL)

58
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 344.17 -0.00% today.

Valuation

DCF 169.75; MOS 127.31; upside -52.1%.

Quality

ROC +82.2%, earnings yield +2.5%, FCF yield +2.6%.

Trend

3M +11.6%; vs SPY +16.2%; 52W high -1.5%.

Risk

30D vol +23.1%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

AAPL: Too expensive (58.5/100). DCF 169.75; MOS 127.31; upside -52.1%. ROC +82.2%, earnings yield +2.5%, FCF yield +2.6%. 3M +11.6%; vs SPY +16.2%; 52W high -1.5%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

ABBV (ABBV)

55
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 290.10 +0.65% today.

Valuation

DCF 61.05; MOS 45.79; upside -79.0%.

Quality

ROC +31.1%, earnings yield +2.0%, FCF yield +3.7%.

Trend

3M +17.0%; vs SPY +21.5%; 52W high -1.6%.

Risk

30D vol +22.6%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

ABBV: Too expensive (55.3/100). DCF 61.05; MOS 45.79; upside -79.0%. ROC +31.1%, earnings yield +2.0%, FCF yield +3.7%. 3M +17.0%; vs SPY +21.5%; 52W high -1.6%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

BRK/B (BRK-B)

55
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 574.55 +0.39% today.

Valuation

DCF 270.38; MOS 202.79; upside -52.8%.

Quality

ROC +12.8%, earnings yield +7.0%, FCF yield +2.0%.

Trend

3M +8.5%; vs SPY +13.1%; 52W high -0.8%.

Risk

30D vol +16.3%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

BRK-B: Too expensive (55.3/100). DCF 270.38; MOS 202.79; upside -52.8%. ROC +12.8%, earnings yield +7.0%, FCF yield +2.0%. 3M +8.5%; vs SPY +13.1%; 52W high -0.8%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Crypto

BTC-USD (BTC-USD)

39
Avoid
Live Tape

Price 75,593 -0.46% today.

Valuation

No DCF: market-structure card only.

Quality

Quality not scored from fundamentals.

Trend

3M -5.1%; vs SPY -0.6%; 52W high -28.7%.

Risk

30D vol +29.9%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

BTC-USD: Avoid (38.8/100). This is a market-structure evaluation; no company DCF is applied.

Warnings

Price is below the 50-day average.

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Yahoo
Operating Company

GOOGL (GOOGL)

23
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 285.83 +1.15% today.

Valuation

DCF 35.02; MOS 26.27; upside -88.0%.

Quality

ROC +20.0%, earnings yield +6.5%, FCF yield +0.5%.

Trend

3M -20.1%; vs SPY -15.5%; 52W high -29.0%.

Risk

30D vol +43.9%; price vs 200D below 200D.

FS Read

GOOGL: Too expensive (22.6/100). DCF 35.02; MOS 26.27; upside -88.0%. ROC +20.0%, earnings yield +6.5%, FCF yield +0.5%. 3M -20.1%; vs SPY -15.5%; 52W high -29.0%.

Warnings

Price is below the 200-day average.

Price is below the 50-day average.

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Three-month relative performance versus SPY is weak.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

JNJ (JNJ)

49
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 275.19 +1.05% today.

Valuation

DCF 100.11; MOS 75.08; upside -63.2%.

Quality

ROC +20.2%, earnings yield +2.4%, FCF yield +2.9%.

Trend

3M +5.1%; vs SPY +9.7%; 52W high -1.2%.

Risk

30D vol +30.0%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

JNJ: Too expensive (49.0/100). DCF 100.11; MOS 75.08; upside -63.2%. ROC +20.2%, earnings yield +2.4%, FCF yield +2.9%. 3M +5.1%; vs SPY +9.7%; 52W high -1.2%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

MSFT (MSFT)

53
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 532.89 -0.57% today.

Valuation

DCF 113.28; MOS 84.96; upside -79.6%.

Quality

ROC +32.3%, earnings yield +3.4%, FCF yield +1.4%.

Trend

3M +5.3%; vs SPY +9.9%; 52W high -4.1%.

Risk

30D vol +29.7%; price vs 200D above 200D.

FS Read

MSFT: Too expensive (53.0/100). DCF 113.28; MOS 84.96; upside -79.6%. ROC +32.3%, earnings yield +3.4%, FCF yield +1.4%. 3M +5.3%; vs SPY +9.9%; 52W high -4.1%.

Warnings

No active card warnings.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
Operating Company

NVDA (NVDA)

31
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 187.38 +3.18% today.

Valuation

DCF 101.75; MOS 76.31; upside -49.8%.

Quality

ROC +75.3%, earnings yield +3.9%, FCF yield +2.6%.

Trend

3M -13.9%; vs SPY -9.3%; 52W high -21.7%.

Risk

30D vol +41.5%; price vs 200D below 200D.

FS Read

NVDA: Too expensive (31.1/100). DCF 101.75; MOS 76.31; upside -49.8%. ROC +75.3%, earnings yield +3.9%, FCF yield +2.6%. 3M -13.9%; vs SPY -9.3%; 52W high -21.7%.

Warnings

Price is below the 200-day average.

Price is below the 50-day average.

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Three-month relative performance versus SPY is weak.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
ETF

SPCX (SPCX)

28
Avoid
Live Tape

Price 134.15 +8.51% today.

Valuation

No DCF: market-structure card only.

Quality

Quality not scored from fundamentals.

Trend

3M -3.3%; vs SPY +1.2%; 52W high -36.5%.

Risk

30D vol +69.2%; price vs 200D N/A.

FS Read

SPCX: Avoid (27.6/100). This is a market-structure evaluation; no company DCF is applied.

Warnings

Price is below the 50-day average.

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Yahoo Finviz
Operating Company

TSLA (TSLA)

24
Too expensive
Live Tape

Price 360.09 +4.77% today.

Valuation

DCF 16.90; MOS 12.67; upside -95.6%.

Quality

ROC +3.7%, earnings yield +0.2%, FCF yield +0.2%.

Trend

3M +8.8%; vs SPY +13.4%; 52W high -26.5%.

Risk

30D vol +50.9%; price vs 200D below 200D.

FS Read

TSLA: Too expensive (24.2/100). DCF 16.90; MOS 12.67; upside -95.6%. ROC +3.7%, earnings yield +0.2%, FCF yield +0.2%. 3M +8.8%; vs SPY +13.4%; 52W high -26.5%.

Warnings

Price is below the 200-day average.

Price is below the 50-day average.

Drawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 20%.

Yahoo Finviz DCF
ETF

XLK (XLK)

23
Avoid
Live Tape

Price 165.10 +1.68% today.

Valuation

No DCF: market-structure card only.

Quality

Quality not scored from fundamentals.

Trend

3M -11.4%; vs SPY -6.8%; 52W high -18.3%.

Risk

30D vol +35.5%; price vs 200D below 200D.

FS Read

XLK: Avoid (23.1/100). This is a market-structure evaluation; no company DCF is applied.

Warnings

Price is below the 200-day average.

Price is below the 50-day average.

Three-month relative performance versus SPY is weak.

Yahoo Finviz
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